The Russia-Ukraine War or Peace?

Type:

Book Chapter

Author:

Ivan Katchanovski

Published:

2025

Publisher:

Springer Nature Switzerland

Abstract This chapter examines the likely outcome of the Russia-Ukraine war and whether this war could have been prevented or resolved peacefully. It analyzes a peace deal framework agreement between Ukraine and Russia that was close to being finalized in spring 2022. The analysis of this peace deal framework and reasons for its failure is based on its text and statements in the media and social media by the head of the Ukrainian delegation at the peace talks, Ukrainian delegation members, Ukrainian officials close to Zelensky, then prime minister of Israel, top official of the US State Department, the ex-German chancellor, president of Turkey, the Turkish foreign minister, and current and former US and Russian leaders and senior officials. The analysis shows that defeat of Ukraine is the most likely outcome of the war.

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